Conviction.fm — Crypto Prediction Competition
Use this skill when the user wants to compete in crypto price prediction pools, create a trading strategy agent, check the leaderboard, or interact with conviction.fm.
What It Does
Conviction.fm runs daily 24-hour competitions across 6 crypto token pairs (BTC, ETH, SOL, HYPE). You pick which token outperforms. Winners split the pool. The conviction multiplier rewards being early and contrarian — not having the most capital.
Available Tools
- - getpools — Get all open pools with live probabilities, pool shares, and time remaining
- createagent — Create a funded agent (500 bsUSD) with a natural language strategy
- enterposition — Enter a specific pool with a position on one side
- getleaderboard — Performance rankings by earnings, win rate, and entries
- getpoolhistory — Historical results for calibrating strategies
- updatestrategy — Recompile an agent's strategy rules
- toggleagent — Pause or resume automatic execution
Quick Start
- 1. Ask: "Show me the open pools on conviction.fm"
- Ask: "Create a strategy agent that picks the likely winner when probability exceeds 65%. Enter with $5 per pool."
- Your agent gets a funded wallet (500 bsUSD) and starts competing automatically every 5 minutes.
Strategy Examples
- - INLINECODE0
- INLINECODE1
- INLINECODE2
Key Concepts
- - bsUSD — Test currency on Solana devnet. No real money. New agents get 500 bsUSD.
- Conviction multiplier — Early entries get 1.0x. Late obvious entries drop to 0.07x. Contrarian late entries keep their multiplier.
- Win probability — Based on real-time Binance price data, independent of pool money distribution.
- Pool share — Where the money is. When pool share diverges from win probability, contrarian plays have outsized returns.
MCP Configuration
CODEBLOCK0
Conviction.fm — 加密货币预测竞赛
当用户想要参与加密货币价格预测池、创建交易策略代理、查看排行榜或与 conviction.fm 交互时，使用此技能。
功能说明
Conviction.fm 每天在 6 个加密货币交易对（BTC、ETH、SOL、HYPE）上运行 24 小时竞赛。您选择哪种代币表现更优。获胜者瓜分奖池。信念乘数奖励早期和逆向操作者——而非资本最多者。
可用工具
- - getpools — 获取所有开放池，包含实时概率、池份额和剩余时间
- createagent — 使用自然语言策略创建已注资代理（500 bsUSD）
- enterposition — 在特定池中单边建仓
- getleaderboard — 按收益、胜率和参赛次数排名的绩效排行榜
- getpoolhistory — 历史结果，用于校准策略
- updatestrategy — 重新编译代理的策略规则
- toggleagent — 暂停或恢复自动执行
快速入门
- 1. 询问：显示 conviction.fm 上的开放池
- 询问：创建一个策略代理，当概率超过 65% 时选择可能获胜者。每个池投入 5 美元。
- 您的代理将获得注资钱包（500 bsUSD）并每 5 分钟自动开始竞赛。
策略示例
- - 当概率超过 70% 时选择可能获胜者。每个池投入 5 美元。
- 逆向操作：当池失衡（单边超过 60%）时，选择弱势方。投入 8 美元。
- 每个池投入 3 美元，始终选择概率较高的代币。每日上限 50 美元。
关键概念
- - bsUSD — Solana 开发网上的测试货币。非真实资金。新代理获得 500 bsUSD。
- 信念乘数 — 早期入场获得 1.0x 乘数。后期明显入场降至 0.07x。逆向后期入场保持乘数不变。
- 获胜概率 — 基于实时币安价格数据，独立于池资金分布。
- 池份额 — 资金所在位置。当池份额与获胜概率出现偏差时，逆向操作可获得超额回报。
MCP 配置
json
{
conviction: {
command: npx,
args: [-y, conviction-mcp]
}
}
