Daily Options Plays — Top 2 Picks
Overview
Create a simple, disciplined options watchlist for beginners. Keep the output narrow: scan after 9:45 AM ET, rank setups, give only the best 2 plays, and translate each idea into a paper-trade plan with entry, stop, target, contract guidance, and a short plain-English thesis.
Workflow
- 1. Run only on U.S. stock market trading days. Skip weekends and market holidays when the market is closed.
- Wait until at least 9:45 AM ET for same-day trade ideas. Do not issue opening-drive signals in the first 15 minutes.
- Review the user’s stock universe or use a small liquid default list if none is provided.
- Score setups using price action, volume, trend, support/resistance, catalyst context, and market tone.
- Return only the top 2 plays. Fewer is better if conviction is weak.
- For each play, provide:
- ticker and direction
- entry
- stop / invalidation
- first target and stretch target when useful
- confidence from 1-10
- short rationale with key risk
- 1-2 week near-the-money options guidance
- 6. Default to paper-trade-first language unless the user explicitly asks for live execution framing.
- Re-check the watchlist roughly once per hour, not every few minutes, unless the user requests a live drill-down.
Output Rules
- - Keep the writeup concise and easy to scan.
- Prefer liquid large-cap names and obvious levels over exotic setups.
- Avoid more than 2 trade ideas in the final answer.
- If the market is messy, say no clean setup instead of forcing picks.
- Never promise outcomes. Use probability language.
- Explicitly mention that this is educational planning, not guaranteed financial advice.
Contract Guidance
Translate the stock setup into beginner-friendly options guidance:
- - Prefer calls for bullish ideas and puts for bearish ideas.
- Prefer near-the-money strikes.
- Prefer expirations about 1-2 weeks out.
- Avoid very short-dated contracts unless the user knowingly wants faster decay and higher risk.
- If implied volatility or liquidity looks problematic, say so and reduce confidence.
Monitoring Philosophy
Use an hourly monitoring mindset by default:
- - Check whether price is holding above/below the planned entry zone.
- Check whether stop or invalidation is close.
- Check whether the thesis still matches market tone and news.
- If price hits target 1, discuss partial-profit logic or stop tightening.
- If the thesis breaks, say exit or stand aside. Do not rationalize a bad setup.
Recommended Response Shape
Use this structure when generating the watchlist:
- - Market tone: 1-3 bullets
- Macro / News Context: explicitly say if it is an FOMC day, CPI day, earnings-heavy day, major geopolitical/world-event day, or if there is no major market-moving news
- Play 1
- Play 2
- No-trade note or risk note
- Paper-trade reminder
References
Read references/watchlist-framework.md when you need the exact scan checklist, ranking criteria, or an example output format.
每日期权精选 — 前2名推荐
概述
为初学者创建简单、有纪律的期权观察清单。保持输出精简:在美东时间上午9:45后扫描,对交易设置进行排序,仅给出最佳的两个交易机会,并将每个想法转化为包含入场点、止损点、目标位、合约指引以及简明易懂的交易逻辑的模拟交易计划。
工作流程
- 1. 仅在美国股市交易日运行。跳过周末和股市休市的法定节假日。
- 等待至美东时间至少上午9:45再给出当日交易想法。不在开盘前15分钟内发出开盘驱动信号。
- 查看用户的股票池,若未提供则使用小型流动性默认列表。
- 根据价格行为、成交量、趋势、支撑/阻力位、催化剂背景和市场情绪对交易设置进行评分。
- 仅返回前2名交易机会。若信心不足,宁可减少数量。
- 对每个交易机会提供:
- 股票代码和方向
- 入场点
- 止损点/失效点
- 第一目标位及适用时的延伸目标位
- 信心评分(1-10分)
- 包含关键风险的简要理由
- 1-2周平值期权指引
- 7. 除非用户明确要求实盘交易框架,否则默认使用模拟交易优先的语言。
- 大约每小时重新检查一次观察清单,而非每隔几分钟,除非用户要求实时深入分析。
输出规则
- - 保持内容简洁,便于快速浏览。
- 优先选择流动性强的大盘股和明确的价位,而非复杂奇特的交易设置。
- 最终答案中避免超过2个交易想法。
- 若市场混乱,说明无清晰交易设置,而非强行推荐。
- 绝不承诺结果。使用概率性语言。
- 明确说明此为教育性规划,而非保证性的财务建议。
合约指引
将股票交易设置转化为适合初学者的期权指引:
- - 看涨思路优先选择看涨期权,看跌思路优先选择看跌期权。
- 优先选择平值行权价。
- 优先选择约1-2周到期的合约。
- 除非用户明确知晓并接受更快的衰减和更高的风险,否则避免使用超短期合约。
- 若隐含波动率或流动性存在问题,应明确指出并降低信心评分。
监控理念
默认采用每小时监控的思路:
- - 检查价格是否维持在计划入场区间之上/之下。
- 检查止损点或失效点是否接近。
- 检查交易逻辑是否仍与市场情绪和新闻相符。
- 若价格触及目标1,讨论部分获利逻辑或收紧止损。
- 若交易逻辑被打破,说明退出或观望。不要为糟糕的交易设置找理由。
推荐回复格式
生成观察清单时使用以下结构:
- - 市场情绪:1-3个要点
- 宏观/新闻背景:明确说明是否为FOMC日、CPI日、财报密集日、重大地缘政治/世界事件日,或是否有无重大市场驱动新闻
- 交易机会1
- 交易机会2
- 不交易提示或风险提示
- 模拟交易提醒
参考资料
当需要精确的扫描清单、评分标准或示例输出格式时,请阅读references/watchlist-framework.md。