HK Stock To Gougoubi Prediction

Use hk-stock-predictor to generate prediction candidates, then convert the best candidate into a Gougoubi-ready proposal and pass it to gougoubi-create-prediction.

Minimal Input

CODEBLOCK0

Theme-first input is also valid:

CODEBLOCK1

Required Subskills

Use these skills in order:

1. 1. INLINECODE2
2. INLINECODE3

If hk-stock-predictor is missing, do not continue to market creation. Ask the agent to perform the HK stock analysis workflow first.

Deterministic Workflow

1. 1. Analyze the HK stock or theme.

1. 2. Pick one prediction candidate.

1. 3. Validate prediction quality.

1. 4. Convert to Gougoubi proposal fields.

1. 5. Pass the resulting market to gougoubi-create-prediction.

1. 6. Return both layers of output.

Market Filters

Only create markets that satisfy all of these:

• - time-bounded
• externally resolvable
• single thesis, not multiple stacked conditions
• sufficiently liquid underlying or high-quality event source
• wording is concise and non-ambiguous

Do not create markets for:

• - micro-cap or illiquid names likely to be manipulated
• vague sentiment questions
• open-ended macro narratives without a measurable threshold
• markets that cannot be resolved from a public page or published report

Gougoubi Conversion Rules

1. marketName

Use a short title with one measurable claim.

Good:

• - INLINECODE16
• INLINECODE17
• INLINECODE18

2. deadlineIsoUtc

Choose the earliest deadline that still allows clean resolution:

• - close-price market: use market close date plus a short safety buffer
• earnings market: use expected report date plus a safety buffer
• relative-performance market: end date at the comparison window close

Default timezone for rules: Asia/Hong_Kong, unless the data source clearly reports in another timezone.

3. rules

Rules must explicitly define:

• - resolution source
• metric field
• comparison operator
• timezone
• tie handling
• fallback source if primary source is temporarily unavailable

Use this template:

CODEBLOCK2

4. tags

Always include:

• - INLINECODE23
• one sector tag
• one catalyst tag
• one horizon tag
• when possible, align with project-known category ids such as finance, earnings, and INLINECODE26

Examples:

• - INLINECODE27
• INLINECODE28
• INLINECODE29
• INLINECODE30
• INLINECODE31

Output Schema

CODEBLOCK3

Response Format

CODEBLOCK4

Boundaries

• - Do not submit on-chain or through the UI unless the user clearly wants actual creation.
• If only asked for preparation, stop after generating the Gougoubi-ready payload.
• Surface uncertainty if earnings date or source availability is unclear.
• Prefer event-driven or close-price markets over loose valuation narratives.

Additional Resource

• - For a concrete Tencent example, see examples.md.