Macro Regime Detector
Real-time macro regime classification for crypto and traditional asset positioning.
Regimes Detected
| Regime | Description | Crypto Positioning |
|---|
| A — Risk-On Bull | VIX <15, F&G >60, DXY falling | Max long, leverage OK |
| B — Neutral/Cooling |
Mixed signals, consolidation | Selective longs, tighter stops |
|
C — Risk-Off Bear | VIX >25, F&G <25, DXY rising | Reduce exposure, hedge |
|
D — Inflationary Spike | CPI surprise, Gold/BTC spike | BTC as inflation hedge |
|
E — Stagflation | High inflation + recession fears | Defensive: BTC, gold, cash |
|
F — Liquidity Crisis | Credit spreads explode, correlation 1 | Exit all risk, stablecoin only |
Signal Sources
- - Fear & Greed (
alternative.me/fng): 0-100 score, regime anchor - Reddit pulse: r/CryptoCurrency, r/investing hot posts, bearish/bullish ratio
- DXY proxy: BTC/USD inverse correlation check
- News NLP: major economic event detection (Fed, CPI, NFP, SEC)
- On-chain: BTC exchange flows, miner capitulation signals
How to Use
Ask: "What macro regime are we in?" or "Should I be long or short crypto right now?"
Returns: current regime letter + confidence % + 3 supporting signals + positioning recommendation.
Regime History (current session)
- - Feb 21 2026: Regime B (Neutral/Cooling) | F&G=8, "Extreme Fear" | Contrarian bullish signal active
宏观体制探测器
针对加密货币和传统资产定位的实时宏观体制分类。
检测到的体制
| 体制 | 描述 | 加密货币定位 |
|---|
| A — 风险偏好牛市 | VIX <15，恐惧贪婪指数 >60，美元指数下跌 | 最大多头，可加杠杆 |
| B — 中性/冷却 |
信号混杂，盘整 | 选择性做多，收紧止损 |
|
C — 风险规避熊市 | VIX >25，恐惧贪婪指数 <25，美元指数上涨 | 降低敞口，对冲 |
|
D — 通胀飙升 | CPI意外，黄金/BTC飙升 | BTC作为通胀对冲工具 |
|
E — 滞胀 | 高通胀 + 衰退担忧 | 防御性：BTC、黄金、现金 |
|
F — 流动性危机 | 信用利差爆发，相关性为1 | 退出所有风险资产，仅持有稳定币 |
信号来源
- - 恐惧与贪婪指数（alternative.me/fng）：0-100评分，体制锚点
- Reddit情绪脉搏：r/CryptoCurrency、r/investing热门帖子，看空/看多比率
- 美元指数代理：BTC/美元反向相关性检查
- 新闻NLP：重大经济事件检测（美联储、CPI、非农、SEC）
- 链上数据：BTC交易所流量，矿工投降信号
使用方法
提问：我们当前处于什么宏观体制？ 或 我现在应该做多还是做空加密货币？
返回：当前体制字母 + 置信度百分比 + 3个支撑信号 + 定位建议。
体制历史（当前会话）
- - 2026年2月21日：体制B（中性/冷却）| 恐惧贪婪指数=8，极度恐惧 | 反向看多信号活跃中
