Munger Observer

Automated daily review applying Charlie Munger's mental models to surface blind spots and cognitive traps.

Process

1. Gather Today's Activity

• - Read today's memory file (memory/YYYY-MM-DD.md)
• Scan session logs for today's activity
• Extract: decisions made, tasks worked on, problems tackled, user requests

2. Apply Mental Models

Inversion

• - What could go wrong? What's the opposite of success here?
• "Tell me where I'm going to die, so I'll never go there."

Second-Order Thinking

• - And then what? Consequences of the consequences?
• Short-term gains creating long-term problems?

Incentive Analysis

• - What behaviors are being rewarded? Hidden incentive structures?
• "Show me the incentive and I'll show you the outcome."

Opportunity Cost

• - What's NOT being done? Cost of this focus?
• Best alternative foregone?

Bias Detection

• - Confirmation bias: Only seeking validating information?
• Sunk cost fallacy: Continuing because of past investment?
• Social proof: Doing it because others do?
• Availability bias: Overweighting recent/vivid information?

Circle of Competence

• - Operating within known territory or outside?
• If outside, appropriate humility/caution?

Margin of Safety

• - What's the buffer if things go wrong?
• Cutting it too close anywhere?

3. Generate Output

If insights found: 1-2 concise Munger-style observations
If nothing notable: "All clear — no cognitive landmines detected today."

Output Format

Example

Scheduling (Optional)

• - Recommended time: End of workday (e.g., 5pm local)
• Trigger message: INLINECODE1