技能列表

Trades 2nd and 3rd order effects from nearly-resolved Polymarket events. When a major geopolitical, crypto, or weather event resolves, downstream markets (oil, equities, crypto) take hours to fully reprice. This skill identifies the cascade chain and trades the lagging targets before they catch up.

Trades the lag between geopolitical escalation markets and crypto price threshold markets on Polymarket. When Iran military action probability rises, BTC threshold markets should reprice lower but often lag behind. Captures the divergence before convergence.

Trades Polymarket prediction markets that resolve near known calendar catalyst events (FOMC meetings, major tournament finals, geopolitical summits, crypto halvings, space launches). Markets near 50% resolving during catalyst windows are underpriced for movement -- Polymarket prices direction, not volatility. These coiled springs will move sharply, and macro analysis provides directional signal.

Systematically finds markets with huge asymmetric payoff -- markets priced at 2-10% where cross-category macro analysis suggests the REAL probability is 15-30%. Uses related markets in other categories (crypto ladders, health escalation, geopolitical heating) to identify which longshots have hidden support. Small bets with 5-20x potential payoff.

Multi-timeframe CEX momentum trading for Polymarket BTC 5-minute fast markets. Aligns 1m/3m/5m Binance returns for directional conviction. Inspired by the #1 Simmer leaderboard trader running 79% WR across 4,000+ trades. Foundation bot with detuned thresholds — tune it, gate it, own the edge.

Cross-coin volume spike detection for crypto Up or Down markets on Polymarket. When 3+ coins (BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP) simultaneously show strong same-direction candles above 58% in the same 5-minute window, it confirms cross-market conviction. Trades lagging coins in the next interval that havent caught up to the confirmed directional move.

Multi-timeframe analysis for crypto Up or Down markets on Polymarket. Detects when 5-minute candle consensus diverges from the hourly market and trades convergence. When 4+ of 6 sub-intervals show a clear directional pattern but the hourly market remains neutral, the 5-min intervals are leading indicators and the longer timeframe will converge.

Trades crypto "Up or Down" 5-minute interval markets on Polymarket by detecting Three White Soldiers (3+ consecutive strong UP intervals all p>0.57) and Three Black Crows (3+ consecutive strong DOWN intervals all p<0.43). Classic candlestick continuation patterns -- when the NEXT interval lags behind the established trend, there is edge in buying the continuation direction. Conviction scales with the lag distance from the trend.

Trades crypto "Up or Down" 5-minute interval markets on Polymarket by detecting Morning Star (DOWN-doji-UP bottom reversal) and Evening Star (UP-doji-DOWN top reversal) candlestick patterns. When the 4th interval hasn't fully priced in the reversal, there is edge in trading the new trend direction. Conviction scales with the lag distance from the expected reversal price.

Trades marubozu continuation signals on Polymarket 5-minute crypto interval markets. A marubozu is an interval with extreme conviction (>65% or <35%) indicating full-body directional commitment with no hesitation. The next interval should continue in the same direction because extreme conviction reflects new information that has not yet fully propagated. Targets BTC, ETH, SOL, and XRP Up or Down bundles with conviction-based position sizing.

Detects harami (inside bar) candlestick patterns on Polymarket crypto 5-minute interval markets. A harami forms when a small-range interval (near 50%) appears after a large-range interval (far from 50%), signalling indecision after a strong move -- often followed by reversal. Targets BTC, ETH, SOL, and XRP Up or Down bundles with conviction-based position sizing.

Trades gap-fill reversions on Polymarket 5-minute crypto interval markets. When consecutive intervals have contradictory strong signals -- prior interval resolves strongly one direction, next opens strongly the other -- the outlier tends to revert toward neutral. A classic gap-fill pattern adapted from traditional candlestick analysis to Polymarket microstructure with conviction-based position sizing scaled by gap magnitude.